Sunday, April 24, 2016

EVs Powered with Solar Panels: Panacea of Hardcore Greens: Economics, Logistical Issues, Incentives, and Disclaimers



EVs Powered with Solar Panels: Panacea of Hardcore Greens: Economics, Logistical Issues, Incentives, and Disclaimers

Many of the more hardcore and well off greens have the goal of getting off fossil fuels so they are willing to do what it takes. Here in Southeast Ohio there are a handful of those who praise the practice of powering EVs with solar panels.

The most useful comparison is perhaps one to a comparable gasoline-powered vehicle. There are many variables to doing the economic comparisons: local electricity prices to calculate charging costs, gasoline prices, local solar energy availability, availability of solar-powered charging station, cost of purchasing a charging station to be charged by one’s own panels, etc. Which electric vehicle one buys is also a factor. The avg. KWh/50 mile charge for electric vehicles is about 15. The range goes from the Chevy Spark EV at 11.5 KWh/50 mile charge to the Tesla Model X at 18KWh/50 mile charge. The most popular EV is the Nissan Leaf at 2016 MSRP of ~ $29120 minus the $7500 federal tax credit makes the net MSRP  ~ $21620. The 2016 Leaf has a range of 107 miles per full charge, an improvement over previous models at 84 miles.

Let’s look at a scenario of charging the 2016 Leaf with solar panels, from say a 5KW system. With taxes and other costs the Leaf will cost at a minimum before tax credit $30000. The solar system, assuming a grid-tied system without battery backup, would cost about $16500 before tax credit. Total cash upfront for a cash purchase would be about $46500. Add in a home charging system installed for about $1200 so the total comes to $47700. For a couple of Tesla power walls for backup add another $7000. The federal tax credits and the state SRECs (they trickle in slowly over time but let’s assume them all at once) would come to about $13500 (paid by the government, or rather the taxpayers). That cuts the total to $33000. Let’s compare to a Toyota Camry at a cost with taxes etc. of about $22500 and running on gasoline. I read one comparison that showed that the EV would save $550 per year over the Camry with gas aroun $2.20 per gallon and electricity at 0.13 per KWh. Gasoline will likely increase a bit more than electricity over the next 5-10 years so we will consider that as well. An EV is expected to have lower maintenance costs than a gasoline vehicle, no oil changes, etc. Savings are estimated at about $500 over 5 years and $1000 over 10 years. So let’s say 20-30 % gradual cost increase in gasoline or we can just add 25% to the savings. With no change in prices the savings over 5 years would be $2750. Add in 25% and you get $3437. Add in the maintenance savings and you get a 5 years savings of $3937 over the Camry and for 10 years you might get $8500 or more in savings. That would bring the cost of the EV plus 10 years of operations savings over the Camry at 12000 miles per year avg to likely below $24400. (I would say also add in about $830 over 10 years for excess solar produced beyond the need of the EV – if a 5KW solar system made 4000 KWh per year and the Leaf takes 14 KWh to go 50 miles that would mean it would take 3360 KWh to charge it for the year. That leaves 640 KWh at $0.13 per KWh elec savings, or $83 per year to help power the house and/or grid – not much excess) That brings it down to $23570 over 10 years. Not bad but still slightly more costly than the $22500 Camry. However, if gas prices rose more the Leaf could conceivably cost less than the Camry and at 15 years it would definitely be significantly less.  

The above assumes that you are only charging the EV with the solar panels which is not really feasible. There are logistical issues. For one, without battery backup, you would have to charge during the day when the sun is shining so you couldn’t really drive it during the day. Spread over the year the avg. daily solar production in this area for a 5KW solar array would be somewhere around 11KWh per day. Remember the Leaf takes 14KWh to charge for 50 miles. With a range of 107 miles it would take right on about 30 KWh to get a full charge. At 11KWh avg. output for the system it would take 2.7 days on avg. to give it a full charge. Now there may be sunny days in season where you could conceivably do it in a day or close to it. With ideal panel angle and orientation and no shading it might be possible. However, some days in the winter and even on cloudy rainy days in any season you could get as low as 1 or 2 KWhs or even less if snow covers the panels. It could conceivably take a week to charge the EV! You might be looking at an absolute max of about maybe 3.5 full charges or about 375 miles allotted for December – but probably much less. This would be inconvenient to say the least.

Another issue is charging times. The chart I saw gave a rate for the Nissan Leaf and Chevy Spark at 11 miles added per hour of charge for a home charging system. That would mean it would take nearly 10 hours to get a full charge – all during the day with solar. Winter days would not be nearly long enough but even summer days would require charging pretty much all day unless you found a fast charging station to use that charged with solar. The EV charged with solar is really starting to look like a vehicle to drive only at night as it would really have to be charging during the daylight hours! 

Another issue and perhaps the main reason EVs are not more popular is the range. Although that has been increasing, especially with the Tesla Model X with a 200 mile range, it is still a big barrier. With a 107 mile range road trips are pretty much out. Versatility is not at present a feature of EVs. They are great urban vehicles for short trips and have applicability as city buses and trains (with bigger battery banks) since they are pollutant-free and smog-free. Thus for practical purposes they are a niche market. That is why they have not sold as expected in the U.S. since we tend to like our vehicles to be capable of ‘going the miles.’ 

There are a few other advantages to the solar setup: a hedge against electricity rate increases, increase in the value of the home or property, and possibly an increase in roof life. Other than that it is just a lot of work, inconvenience, and cost to taxpayers, for the hardcore green to lay claim to those emissions reductions which are indeed real. In reality much of the time the EV would have to be charged by the grid which in Ohio is powered over 60% by coal so that would significantly offset the emissions reductions. I would have to say that due to these issues the myth of charging an EV with a reasonably sized rooftop solar system (5KWh) being economic over a comparable gas or hybrid vehicle is pretty much busted since if it were to be optimized it would take away significantly from the convenience of owning a vehicle and severely limit driving opportunities regardless of the range. Using a battery backup system would be quite helpful to alleviate the inconveniences but it would also take away any cost advantages.

This was just a quick look estimate based on a few sources and others’ ‘mileage may vary’ as they say. 

References:

How Much Does it Cost to Charge an Electric Car with Solar Power? – by Ben Zientara, from solarpowerrocks.com , 2016

Electric Car Charging 101 – Types of Charging, Charging Networks, Apps, & More – by Zach, at EV Obsession, evobsession.com , Sept 10, 2015

Electric Vehicles vs. Gas vs. Hybrid Cars: A Comparison of Maintenance, Fuel, Insurance, and Other Costs – by Jeffrey Chu, in Nerdwallet, Sept 15, 2015

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